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Simon Holt's picture

Simon Holt

- Member since 08-24-2010
thebigtip status

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Totals: Total articles 5Total comments 2Total views 1798 (Rank 98)

Good Calls 4Bad Calls 2 (67% Percentage)

X Factor Odds Show Value
41 321

Many will have Altiyan Childs already as the winner of the X Factor. But betting on reality television shows has proven that the favourite rarely wins. There are reasons for that. Primarily, this is more than just a singing contest. It is a popularity contest. It is also a manipulation exercise craftily constructed by Simon Cowell. Judges are taught to confuse, with a mission to increase the level of voting. Let’s look back at past experiences: In American Idol, Adam Lambert was beaten in the...

Articles: Featured

Is Ricky Ponting obsessed with self-preservation?
00 347

Is Ricky Ponting, as some are suggesting, really the worst Australian cricket captain in modern history?Should he be leading yet another ashes bid? If so, should he be batting at number 3?Allan Border made himself a versatile batting contributor, and was happy to move around the order for the betterment of the team. Bob Simpson did the same.Those are the suggestions which are being made – and have been made from some time – among the grumblings from the backrooms of cricket hierarchy.Past...

Articles: Featured

10 things we should be able to bet on
TheBigTip 00 366

In an increasingly competitive market, bookmakers are looking for the edge. Part of their strategy is to draw markets on novelty events … the next pope, television viewing statistics, election outcomes, the list goes on.It got me wondering. What would be really fun to bet on? Betfair, take note!1. For Ben Cousins:A/ The second day would be better than the first: $1.05B/ The third day would be better than the second: $1.07C/ The fourth day would be better than the third: $1.07D/ Life would be...

Articles: Featured

Matt Newton exit lacks the X Factor
01 424

Punters put up some fairly high stakes when they take an educated stab at picking a correct sporting result. But in most cases, the amounts are small against some of the corporate gambling.Case in point, Matthew Newton. One month out of rehab and Channel 7 trusts that drugs and violence are behind the star.Next week we’ll be picking up the odds on the X Factor as it boils down to its Australian Idol-like format.Let’s hope we, as punters, don’t make the same mistakes Channel 7 did when...

Articles: Featured

The sport of politics, an independent choice
00 340

Hard to believe, isn’t it? Four days after a federal election and we’re still no closer to forming a government. At least that’s how the punters would have it. No, not a tight race with 10% either way. As of 10.20am Wednesday morning, dead level. $1.87 apiece on Centrebet. Millions of dollars are tied up in the result. Let’s hope those who took the $6-8 on a hung parliament are savouring their winnings. But you’re a better pick than I am if you can say which way the four independents...

Articles: Featured

Matt Newton exit lacks the X Factor
01 424

Punters put up some fairly high stakes when they take an educated stab at picking a correct sporting result. But in most cases, the amounts are small against some of the corporate gambling.Case in point, Matthew Newton. One month out of rehab and Channel 7 trusts that drugs and violence are behind the star.Next week we’ll be picking up the odds on the X Factor as it boils down to its Australian Idol-like format.Let’s hope we, as punters, don’t make the same mistakes Channel 7 did when...

10 things we should be able to bet on
00 366

In an increasingly competitive market, bookmakers are looking for the edge. Part of their strategy is to draw markets on novelty events … the next pope, television viewing statistics, election outcomes, the list goes on.It got me wondering. What would be really fun to bet on? Betfair, take note!1. For Ben Cousins:A/ The second day would be better than the first: $1.05B/ The third day would be better than the second: $1.07C/ The fourth day would be better than the third: $1.07D/ Life would be...

Is Ricky Ponting obsessed with self-preservation?
00 347

Is Ricky Ponting, as some are suggesting, really the worst Australian cricket captain in modern history?Should he be leading yet another ashes bid? If so, should he be batting at number 3?Allan Border made himself a versatile batting contributor, and was happy to move around the order for the betterment of the team. Bob Simpson did the same.Those are the suggestions which are being made – and have been made from some time – among the grumblings from the backrooms of cricket hierarchy.Past...

The sport of politics, an independent choice
00 340

Hard to believe, isn’t it? Four days after a federal election and we’re still no closer to forming a government. At least that’s how the punters would have it. No, not a tight race with 10% either way. As of 10.20am Wednesday morning, dead level. $1.87 apiece on Centrebet. Millions of dollars are tied up in the result. Let’s hope those who took the $6-8 on a hung parliament are savouring their winnings. But you’re a better pick than I am if you can say which way the four independents...

X Factor Odds Show Value
41 321

Many will have Altiyan Childs already as the winner of the X Factor. But betting on reality television shows has proven that the favourite rarely wins. There are reasons for that. Primarily, this is more than just a singing contest. It is a popularity contest. It is also a manipulation exercise craftily constructed by Simon Cowell. Judges are taught to confuse, with a mission to increase the level of voting. Let’s look back at past experiences: In American Idol, Adam Lambert was beaten in the...

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Simon is editor of winery2u.com, a website where you can explore the wonderful world of wine. He's also been a journalist for 20 years, and reckons he's got a pretty good handle on reality television and any other offbeat events for which the bookies offer a market.